The AI Bubble is mounting and the 1st telling signs have been published. Luckily for Crypto in Business, Crypto is not that affected. Banks are, and mnay banks have lost all restrictions. The more they are entangled the higher the risk. Who will suffer: AI valuations are bound to collapse but the damage is concentrated among: AI startups, their involved venture capital funds, some technology equities, U.S. growth stocks (The Magnificent Seven).
should mainly feel the effects indirectly through: lower investor risk appetite, wider dollar credit spreads, weaker capital inflows, tighter lending conditions (for banks). Many Latin American banks would probably survive due to their balance sheets being still dominated by traditional lending rather than an AI-sector exposure. Countries more involved are Chile, Mexico, Panama and Peru. Moderately exposed are Brazil, Colombia, Uruguay.
In Latin America especially, a merchant using Airtm or a stablecoin often isn't speculating on AI. They're are using stable coins to: pay suppliers, preserve value, receive international payments, avoid local currency volatility. Those needs won't disappear because Nvidia or a group of AI startups lose valuation or stock values. Thanks to the problematic of restictive dollar policies the gradual migration of commerce and cross-border trade toward stablecoins, fintech rails, and dollar-linked digital assets has happened.
The trend inst stable coins is bound to continue, the US Dollar won't be freely available on short notice for financial institutions nor people alike. Binance, Airtm, Xeno among many others have a growing market penetration in a market where the nations have little control. Those matter most to Latin American merchants 10 years from now may be very different from the traditional banks that mattered 20 years ago.
The 2008 global financial crisis has demonstrated lesser impacts. According to IMF analysis, the region was less severely affected than some other regions, but it remained vulnerable to volatility originating outside Latin America.
In an event of a bursting AI bubble some Investors should turn to Latin America as a diversification opportunity, since the region's AI-driven growth is tied to local productivity gains rather than global tech valuations. Latin America's AI adoption is concentrated in fintech, healthcare, and agriculture, with potential GDP gains estimated at $1.3 trillion by 2030.
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